<\/p>
Earlier in the year Elon Musk\u2019s SpaceX once again made headline news: a large section of rocket booster belonging to the private spaceflight company that has been careening around the Earth for the last seven years is on a direct collision course with the Moon, the reports ran.<\/p>\n
The errant chunk of space junk was spotted by American astronomer Bill Gray, who identified it as the upper section of a Falcon 9 rocket launched from Florida in 2015 that had run out of fuel and become trapped in an \u2018chaotic orbit\u2019. Many internet pundits and social media users were, of course, incensed.<\/p>\n
Then shortly after Gray\u2019s announcement, a group of students based at the University of Arizona\u2019s Space Domain Awareness lab eventually identified the offending piece of defunct space hardware as belonging to a Chang\u2019e 5-T1 rocket launched in 2014 by the Chinese space agency.<\/p>\n
However, a spokesperson from the Chinese foreign ministry has since told reporters that this can\u2019t be the case as the Chang\u2019e 5-T1 in question safely entered the Earth\u2019s atmosphere and burned up.<\/p>\n
Regardless of its origin, calculations show that the rocket will crash land on the surface of the Moon on 4 March. But should we be worried about the potential damage it could cause? Not according to Prof Don Pollacco<\/a>, director of the University of Warwick\u2019s newly formed Centre for Space Domain Awareness.<\/p>\n \u201cIt\u2019s no big deal,\u201d he says. \u201cThe Moon has actually been a handy dump for things like the Apollo spacecraft. Rather than let them float around, most of the first and second stages were crashed into the Moon.\u201d<\/p>\n Read more about space junk:<\/strong><\/p>\n Not only is it no big deal, for researchers that study objects in Earth orbit it also comes as little surprise.<\/p>\n \u201cThere are particular orbits that boosters were just dumped in,\u201d says Pollacco. \u201cThere are still about 50 objects, maybe more, that are from deep space adventures that are not tracked now. Space is big, but occasionally something like this happens.\u201d<\/p>\n The Centre for Space Domain Awareness launched in September 2021 to study the potential threats of space debris to technology, such as satellites, in orbit around Earth. Particularly those in Low Earth Orbit (LEO), which is classed as anything below 2,000km. And the greater threat is not posed by the more eye-catching events such as rockets colliding with the Moon, but by much smaller fragments of debris, says Pollacco.<\/p>\n According to the most up-to-date statistical estimates carried out by the European Space Agency (ESA) there are currently around 8,000 satellites, functioning or otherwise, in orbit around Earth.<\/p>\n Compare this the 130 million pieces of space debris also occupying the same space and the magnitude of the problem begins to emerge.<\/p>\n What\u2019s more, the overwhelming majority of these, all but about 36,000, are thought to be less than 10cm in diameter. This makes them particularly difficult to track \u2013 the errors in measurements of their position are currently in the range of kilometres, Pollacco says.<\/p>\n \u201cMost stuff that\u2019s done at LEO is done with radar. And that stems from history, really. It stems from the fact that we have these really big military radar \u2013 Fylingdales that are designed to see missiles,\u201d says Pollacco. They can be used, not in the most efficient way, to look at things a few hundred kilometres up.\u201d<\/p>\n Read more about space junk:<\/strong><\/p>\n \u201cOnce you start getting below spacecraft size, then we don\u2019t monitor things well enough to continually know what\u2019s there. The numbers of small things, even 10 centimetres in size, are really just not known, except through models, they\u2019re not observationally verified, so it\u2019s a pretty serious situation,\u201d he says. \u201cThere are already some orbits where there is a significant chance of collision. Put it like this \u2013 it\u2019s not going to get better.\u201d<\/p>\n As these small pieces of debris are travelling at more than 28,000kph \u2013 ten times faster than a rifle bullet \u2013 any impact they were to make with a spacecraft could potentially cause significant damage.<\/p>\n Moreover, unless action is taken to remedy the situation, the risk of triggering a Kessler event becomes more and more of a possibility. This is a catastrophic scenario named after NASA scientist Donald Kessler, who first proposed the theory in the late 1970s.<\/p>\n It involves a runaway effect in which a satellite that is hit by a piece of space junk breaks into hundreds of tiny pieces of space junk itself, which then hit other satellites and create a domino effect. This could make it extremely dangerous, or even impossible, for rockets to leave the Earth, Pollacco says.<\/p>\n \u201cWe\u2019re at a situation where it\u2019s not too late. But my worry has always been it\u2019s only when, say, a spaceship carrying people on it is clobbered that we actually take it more seriously. But now we could deal with it before anything really bad happens,\u201d he says. \u201cBut we have to be careful because if we don\u2019t do something, then you can be sure that some kind of Kessler event is going to come our way.\u201d<\/p>\n So what options do we have?<\/p>\n \u201cI think it\u2019s a mixture of being responsible and abiding by the Outer Space Treaty, which means deorbiting things, paying some sort of levy when you launch so that there is a government or a company that goes to remove the old spacecraft that are there,\u201d says Pollacco.<\/p>\n \u201cAnd then for the rest of the stuff that doesn\u2019t deorbit, we need to know where it is. So instead of having error boxes for each bit of debris that are kilometres in size, you need to have a much more reliable measurement.\u201d<\/p>\n Don is the director of the University of Warwick\u2019s Centre for Space Domain Awareness.<\/p>\n Read more about satellites:<\/strong><\/p>\n <\/p><\/div> <\/section><\/body><\/html>\n By Jason Goodyer Published: Wednesday, 23 February 2022 at 12:00 am Earlier in the year Elon Musk\u2019s SpaceX once again made headline news: a large section of rocket booster belonging to the private spaceflight company that has been careening around the Earth for the last seven years is on a direct collision course with the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":24,"featured_media":6238,"template":"","categories":[1],"acf":{"readingTimeMinutes":"5"},"uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":["https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/42\/2022\/02\/space-junk-a-rocket-crashing-into-the-moon-is-the-least-of-our-worries-uk-expert-says.jpg",1200,402,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/42\/2022\/02\/space-junk-a-rocket-crashing-into-the-moon-is-the-least-of-our-worries-uk-expert-says-150x150.jpg",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/42\/2022\/02\/space-junk-a-rocket-crashing-into-the-moon-is-the-least-of-our-worries-uk-expert-says-300x101.jpg",300,101,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/42\/2022\/02\/space-junk-a-rocket-crashing-into-the-moon-is-the-least-of-our-worries-uk-expert-says-768x257.jpg",768,257,true],"large":["https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/42\/2022\/02\/space-junk-a-rocket-crashing-into-the-moon-is-the-least-of-our-worries-uk-expert-says-1024x343.jpg",800,268,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/42\/2022\/02\/space-junk-a-rocket-crashing-into-the-moon-is-the-least-of-our-worries-uk-expert-says.jpg",1200,402,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/42\/2022\/02\/space-junk-a-rocket-crashing-into-the-moon-is-the-least-of-our-worries-uk-expert-says.jpg",1200,402,false]},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"importmanagerhub@sprylab.com","author_link":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcsciencefocus\/author\/importmanagerhubsprylab-com\/"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"By Jason Goodyer Published: Wednesday, 23 February 2022 at 12:00 am Earlier in the year Elon Musk\u2019s SpaceX once again made headline news: a large section of rocket booster belonging to the private spaceflight company that has been careening around the Earth for the last seven years is on a direct collision course with the…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcsciencefocus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/rss_feed\/6237"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcsciencefocus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/rss_feed"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcsciencefocus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/rss_feed"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcsciencefocus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/24"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcsciencefocus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6238"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcsciencefocus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6237"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcsciencefocus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6237"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}Taking out the trash<\/h2>\n
About our expert, Prof Don Pollacco<\/h4>\n
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