{"id":23690,"date":"2021-09-13T11:10:52","date_gmt":"2021-09-13T11:10:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/?p=99909"},"modified":"2021-09-13T12:01:12","modified_gmt":"2021-09-13T12:01:12","slug":"how-earth-orbiting-satellites-monitor-climate-change","status":"publish","type":"rss_feed","link":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/rss_feed\/how-earth-orbiting-satellites-monitor-climate-change\/","title":{"rendered":"How Earth-orbiting satellites monitor climate change"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"rssexcerpt\"><\/p><p class=\"rssauthor\">By Rob Banino\n                \t\t<\/p><p class=\"rssbyline\">Published: Monday, 13 September 2021 at 12:00 am<\/p><hr class=\"no-tts wp-block-separator\" \/>\n\n<p class=\"&quot;p1&quot;\">Something big happened in 2020. According to the Global Carbon Project, carbon dioxide (CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span>) emissions declined by 2.4bn tonnes \u2013 the biggest drop ever recorded.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p1&quot;\">It is a faint silver lining to a year of COVID-19 lockdowns, and a distraction from the longer-term trend \u2013 in 2019, CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> emissions hit a record high (36.8bn tonnes). Now, as restrictions ease thanks to vaccination programmes, CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> emissions are returning to pre-pandemic levels.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">After taking office in January 2021, President Joe Biden reinstated America\u2019s commitment to the Paris Agreement, an international treaty on climate change.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<ul><li><a href=\"\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/space-science\/how-can-astronomy-help-us-protect-earth\/&quot;\"><em><strong>Can astronomy help us protect Earth?<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/news\/does-coronavirus-lockdown-mean-clearer-skies-for-astronomers\/&quot;\"><em><strong>Has lockdown affected light pollution?<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/space-missions\/pictures-earth-from-space\/&quot;\"><em><strong>Gallery: Apollo images of planet Earth<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul><div class=\"&quot;image-handler__container\" style=\"padding-bottom:\"> <img class=\"&quot;wp-image-99913\" align=\"\" data-src=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2021\/09\/GettyImages-1297995990-9da3df4.jpg?quality=90&amp;resize=620%2C414&quot;\" width=\"&quot;1024&quot;\" height=\"&quot;683&quot;\" alt=\"&quot;Joe\" title=\"&quot;Joe\" \/><\/div><div class=\"&quot;caption-hold&quot;\"><figcaption class=\"&quot;wp-caption-text&quot;\"><span class=\"&quot;caption-copy&quot;\"><i class=\"&quot;icon-arrow\" \/> Following his inauguration in January 2021, one of Joe Biden\u2019s first acts as US President was to recommit to the Paris Agreement. Photo by Rob Carr\/Getty Images<\/span><\/figcaption><span class=\"&quot;im-image-caption&quot;\" \/><\/div>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">In April, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson set new, more aggressive emissions reduction targets for the UK.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">In May, Germany brought its deadline to become carbon neutral forward to 2045.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">And further pledges to cut CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> may come in November 2021\u2019s UN Climate Change Conference of the Parties (COP26).<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">But such pledges are meaningless unless action is taken to keep them. And how will we know if those actions are having an effect?<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">More to the point, how do we know how much CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> there is in the atmosphere to begin with?<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">Scientists, such as Dr Annmarie Eldering, can answer those questions with the help of CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span>-monitoring satellites.<\/p>\n<h1 class=\"&quot;p5&quot;\"><strong>Why monitor climate change from space?<\/strong><\/h1>\n<div class=\"&quot;image-handler__container\" style=\"padding-bottom:\"> <img class=\"&quot;wp-image-99915\" align=\"\" data-src=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2021\/09\/Climate-change-monitoring-satellites-23ee91f.jpg?quality=90&amp;resize=620%2C402&quot;\" width=\"&quot;1200&quot;\" height=\"&quot;778&quot;\" alt=\"&quot;Artist's\" title=\"&quot;Climate\" \/><\/div><div class=\"&quot;caption-hold&quot;\"><figcaption class=\"&quot;wp-caption-text&quot;\"><span class=\"&quot;caption-copy&quot;\"><i class=\"&quot;icon-arrow\" \/> Artist\u2019s illustration of satellites monitoring climate change from Earth orbit. Credit: Paul Wootton<\/span><\/figcaption><span class=\"&quot;im-image-caption&quot;\" \/><\/div>\n<p class=\"&quot;p2&quot;\">Eldering has been involved in the task since NASA\u2019s <a href=\"\/\/ocov2.jpl.nasa.gov\/&quot;\" target=\"&quot;_blank&quot;\" rel=\"&quot;noopener&quot; noopener noreferrer\">Orbiting Carbon Observatory<\/a>-2 (OCO-2) got the go-ahead in February 2010.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p2&quot;\">She had joined NASA\u2019s Jet Propulsion Lab in the late 1990s to work on measuring air pollution from space.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p2&quot;\">\u201cIt was a pretty small leap to go from air pollution to measuring CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span>,\u201d she says.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p2&quot;\">\u201cCO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> is the most important of the gases humans emit for driving climate change. It\u2019s a really big problem, for us and the globe.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p2&quot;\">\u201cIt\u2019s something we\u2019ve got to understand and start acting on. But measuring CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> from space is challenging.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">Challenging is an understatement. Since 2016, the concentration of CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> in the atmosphere has been over 400 parts per million \u2013 a level unseen since the mid-Pliocene, 3 million years ago.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">But as high as that is, it\u2019s still a staggeringly difficult amount to keep track of. Imagine trying to account for 400 pennies scattered among one million coins of all denominations spread across a floor.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">Now imagine that each day someone adds a few more pennies or takes a couple away. That\u2019s the challenge Eldering and the OCO-2 team took on.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">They weren\u2019t starting from scratch, though. Thanks to Eunice Foote and John Tyndall\u2019s work in the 1850s, we know about the dangers of increasing concentrations of atmospheric CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span>, a greenhouse gas, on the climate.<\/p>\n<div class=\"&quot;image-handler__container\" style=\"height:\"> <img class=\"&quot;wp-image-99914\" align=\"\" data-src=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2021\/09\/OCO-Observatory-High.max-1000x500-1b64189.jpg?quality=90&amp;resize=500%2C500&quot;\" width=\"&quot;500&quot;\" height=\"&quot;500&quot;\" alt=\"&quot;Artist's\" title=\"&quot;OCO\" \/><\/div><div class=\"&quot;caption-hold&quot;\"><figcaption class=\"&quot;wp-caption-text&quot;\"><span class=\"&quot;caption-copy&quot;\"><i class=\"&quot;icon-arrow\" \/> Artist\u2019s impression of the OCO-2 observatory in Earth orbit. Credit: John Howard\/JPLArtist\u2019s impression of the OCO-2 observatory in Earth orbit. Credit: John Howard\/JPL<\/span><\/figcaption><span class=\"&quot;im-image-caption&quot;\" \/><\/div>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">And since Charles David Keeling established a weather station on Hawaii\u2019s Mauna Loa volcano in 1958, we\u2019ve been monitoring them.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">But the Mauna Loa Observatory only gives us a tiny snapshot of the CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> in Earth\u2019s atmosphere.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">Even the global network of ground- and sea-based monitoring stations that has developed to support it can\u2019t provide a complete picture.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">And that\u2019s because Earth\u2019s atmosphere extends to around 10,000m above sea level, so most of it is nowhere near the monitoring equipment. Hence the need for CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span>-monitoring satellites.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">\u201cThe big motivation was to find out, on a global scale, how CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> moves between the atmosphere, the ocean and the land,\u201d says Eldering.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">\u201cAs a lot of our information came from ground- and ship-based measurements, there was a huge part of Earth we didn\u2019t observe.\u201d<\/p>\n<h1 class=\"&quot;p5&quot;\"><strong>What do climate-monitoring satellites do?<\/strong><\/h1>\n<p class=\"&quot;p2&quot;\">OCO-2 launched on 2 July 2014 and OCO-3 on 4 May 2019. Together, they help to keep track of the CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> in Earth\u2019s atmosphere.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p2&quot;\">Fundamentally, they\u2019re the same \u2013 both carry an instrument containing spectrometers that measure wavelengths of sunlight that have reflected off Earth\u2019s surface and passed through the atmosphere.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">\u201cWhat\u2019s important about that is every gas [in the atmosphere] has a unique way of interacting with light,\u201d says Eldering.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">\u201c[Each gas] absorbs a little bit of light as it passes through. So if you know the pattern of absorption for a particular gas and you\u2019ve got a really precise measurement of the light; you can see that there were more molecules [of that gas] here than there were over there.\u201d<\/p>\n<div class=\"&quot;image-handler__container\" style=\"padding-bottom:\"> <img class=\"&quot;wp-image-99917\" align=\"\" data-src=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2021\/09\/CO2-climate-change-map-6c842ff.jpg?quality=90&amp;resize=620%2C349&quot;\" width=\"&quot;1000&quot;\" height=\"&quot;563&quot;\" alt=\"&quot;A\" title=\"&quot;CO2\" \/><\/div><div class=\"&quot;caption-hold&quot;\"><figcaption class=\"&quot;wp-caption-text&quot;\"><span class=\"&quot;caption-copy&quot;\"><i class=\"&quot;icon-arrow\" \/> A map showing atmospheric CO2 concentration between 6 September 2014 and 30 July 2017, using data captured by OCO-2. Credit: NASA\/OCO-2<\/span><\/figcaption><span class=\"&quot;im-image-caption&quot;\" \/><\/div>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">With that information, scientists can see where CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> is accumulating and how it\u2019s influenced by temperature and pressure changes, climatic or geological events (such as El Ni\u00f1o events or volcanic eruptions), and even seasonal vegetation growth.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">Where OCO-2 and OCO-3 differ is in what their instruments are attached to.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">OCO-2\u2019s is packaged into a satellite in heliosynchronous orbit; OCO-3\u2019s is mounted on the <a href=\"\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/space-missions\/international-space-station-facts-history\/&quot;\">International Space Station<\/a> (ISS).<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">What that means is OCO-2 orbits the poles at an altitude of 700km, passing over any given spot at the same time (guaranteeing it\u2019s in sunlight).<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">Meanwhile, OCO-3 orbits with the ISS, about 400km above Earth, and sees different locations at different times.<\/p>\n<h1 class=\"&quot;p5&quot;\"><strong>Why is\u00a0 CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2 <\/sub><\/span>in Earth\u2019s atmosphere bad?<\/strong><\/h1>\n<div class=\"&quot;image-handler__container\" style=\"padding-bottom:\"> <img class=\"&quot;wp-image-99920\" align=\"\" data-src=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2021\/09\/GettyImages-619471998-ecde0eb.jpg?quality=90&amp;resize=620%2C414&quot;\" width=\"&quot;724&quot;\" height=\"&quot;483&quot;\" alt=\"&quot;Smoke\" title=\"&quot;Smoke\" \/><\/div><div class=\"&quot;caption-hold&quot;\"><figcaption class=\"&quot;wp-caption-text&quot;\"><span class=\"&quot;caption-copy&quot;\"><i class=\"&quot;icon-arrow\" \/> Digging up and burning fossil fuels has upset Earth\u2019s natural CO2 balance. Credit: Alexandros Maragos \/ Getty Images<\/span><\/figcaption><span class=\"&quot;im-image-caption&quot;\" \/><\/div>\n<p class=\"&quot;p5&quot;\">There has always been, and always should be, some CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> in Earth\u2019s atmosphere because every living thing emits CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span>, either through respiration while it\u2019s alive or decomposition once it\u2019s dead.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p5&quot;\">But those emissions are balanced by the CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> absorbed by photosynthesis and colder parts of the oceans.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">The problem is that CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> emissions from human activity \u2013 anthropogenic emissions \u2013 have unbalanced that natural cycle.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">Ever since we began burning fossil fuels (oil, coal and natural gas) we\u2019ve essentially been digging up CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> that had been removed from the cycle and pumping it into the atmosphere.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">But we\u2019ve failed to balance those emissions by creating new sinks to absorb that extra CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">To make matters worse, by clearing vast areas of rainforest across the tropics, we\u2019ve also decreased the capacity of Earth\u2019s natural CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> sinks, leaving us staring down the barrel of catastrophe.<\/p>\n<div class=\"&quot;image-handler__container\" style=\"padding-bottom:\"> <img class=\"&quot;wp-image-99919\" align=\"\" data-src=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2021\/09\/GettyImages-90111445-0985178.jpg?quality=90&amp;resize=620%2C414&quot;\" width=\"&quot;724&quot;\" height=\"&quot;483&quot;\" alt=\"&quot;Area\" title=\"&quot;Amazon\" \/><\/div><div class=\"&quot;caption-hold&quot;\"><figcaption class=\"&quot;wp-caption-text&quot;\"><span class=\"&quot;caption-copy&quot;\"><i class=\"&quot;icon-arrow\" \/> Deforestation of rainforests like the Amazon has worsened the effects of climate change. Credit: LeoFFreitas \/ Getty Images<\/span><\/figcaption><span class=\"&quot;im-image-caption&quot;\" \/><\/div>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">Without taking action to reduce our CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> emissions, we\u2019re facing climate disaster.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">The trouble is, we can\u2019t tell if those actions are helping without knowing how much CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> we\u2019re responsible for.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">We need to differentiate between natural and anthropogenic CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span>, and that\u2019s even harder than monitoring CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> from space.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">To return to the coin analogy, it\u2019s akin to determining how many of those 400 pennies are real and how many are counterfeit.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">It\u2019s difficult, but not impossible, provided you have a device that can measure nitrogen dioxide (NO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span>) levels.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">And that\u2019s where the <a href=\"\/\/www.tropomi.eu\/&quot;\" target=\"&quot;_blank&quot;\" rel=\"&quot;noopener&quot; noopener noreferrer\">TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument<\/a> (TROPOMI) comes in.<\/p>\n<h1 class=\"&quot;p5&quot;\"><strong>TROPOMI explained<\/strong><\/h1>\n<div class=\"&quot;image-handler__container\" style=\"padding-bottom:\"> <img class=\"&quot;wp-image-99921\" align=\"\" data-src=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2021\/09\/Sentinel-5P-13eb34e.jpg?quality=90&amp;resize=620%2C438&quot;\" width=\"&quot;3508&quot;\" height=\"&quot;2480&quot;\" alt=\"&quot;Artist's\" title=\"&quot;Sentinel-5P&quot;\" \/><\/div><div class=\"&quot;caption-hold&quot;\"><figcaption class=\"&quot;wp-caption-text&quot;\"><span class=\"&quot;caption-copy&quot;\"><i class=\"&quot;icon-arrow\" \/> Artist\u2019s impression of the Sentinel-5P satellite orbiting Earth. Credit: ESA\/ATG medialab<\/span><\/figcaption><span class=\"&quot;im-image-caption&quot;\" \/><\/div>\n<p class=\"&quot;p6&quot;\">TROPOMI examines Earth\u2019s atmosphere, while orbiting aboard the Copernicus Sentinel-5P satellite.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p6&quot;\">It was built by the European Space Agency (ESA) and the Netherlands Space Office, to measure, among other things, nitrogen dioxide (NO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span>).<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p6&quot;\">\u201cNO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> is one of the keys to differentiating natural carbon emissions from anthropogenic ones,\u201d says Eldering.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p6&quot;\">\u201cNO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> comes from burning fuels, an anthropogenic source. So we\u2019ve been testing the idea of combining OCO-3 and TROPOMI data.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">Combining that data gives you a pretty reliable indication of the origin of the CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">Broadly speaking, if the data shows CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> alone, it\u2019s probably a natural emission, but if CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> is present with NO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span>, chances are it\u2019s anthropogenic.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">The tests have proved successful. So successful that a European consortium is developing a system that uses this approach to evaluate the attempts by cities, countries and industries to reduce their CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> emissions.<\/p>\n<div class=\"&quot;image-handler__container\" style=\"padding-bottom:\"> <img class=\"&quot;wp-image-99922\" align=\"\" data-src=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2021\/09\/S5P_MISSION_tropomi_photo-c588153.jpeg?quality=90&amp;resize=620%2C448&quot;\" width=\"&quot;1335&quot;\" height=\"&quot;965&quot;\" alt=\"&quot;The\" title=\"&quot;S5P_MISSION_tropomi_photo&quot;\" \/><\/div><div class=\"&quot;caption-hold&quot;\"><figcaption class=\"&quot;wp-caption-text&quot;\"><span class=\"&quot;caption-copy&quot;\"><i class=\"&quot;icon-arrow\" \/> The TROPOMI instrument examines Earth\u2019s atmosphere to measure nitrogen dioxide Credit: TNO, Airbus DS-NL.<\/span><\/figcaption><span class=\"&quot;im-image-caption&quot;\" \/><\/div>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">And the European Union\u2019s <a href=\"\/\/www.copernicus.eu\/en&quot;\" target=\"&quot;_blank&quot;\" rel=\"&quot;noopener&quot; noopener noreferrer\">Copernicus Earth Observation<\/a> programme is preparing a constellation of three satellites scheduled to launch in 2025 that will play a key role in our bid to hit the emission reduction targets of the Paris Agreement.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">\u201cThe whole idea is that, if we\u2019re serious about taking action [to mitigate climate change], we need to be able to monitor the impact of those actions,\u201d explains Dr Richard Engelen, the Deputy Director of the Copernicus Atmospheric Monitoring Service (CAMS).<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">\u201cWe need direct feedback on how well they result in reduced CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> concentrations in the atmosphere.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">For that feedback to be useful it has to distinguish between natural and anthropogenic CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span>. The Copernicus satellites, with their ground- and sea-based support network, can do this.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">\u201cWe try to combine as much information as possible from different sources, so not just [satellite] observations, but also all we already know about fossil fuel emissions,\u201d says Engelen.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">\u201cWe know where power plants are, for instance, we know where the big cities are and we have some knowledge about the variability of the emissions, in terms of energy consumption. We\u2019ll use all of that and combine it to come to the best estimates of the emissions.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">The Copernicus CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> emission-monitoring service isn\u2019t just another batch of satellites carrying spectrometers; it\u2019s a big step forward in terms of coverage and precision.<\/p>\n<div class=\"&quot;image-handler__container\" style=\"padding-bottom:\"> <img class=\"&quot;wp-image-99924\" align=\"\" data-src=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2021\/09\/432426-Cracked_Pine_Island_Glacier_node_full_image_2-3b13d6a.jpeg?quality=90&amp;resize=620%2C521&quot;\" width=\"&quot;700&quot;\" height=\"&quot;588&quot;\" alt=\"&quot;Two\" title=\"&quot;Two\" \/><\/div><div class=\"&quot;caption-hold&quot;\"><figcaption class=\"&quot;wp-caption-text&quot;\"><span class=\"&quot;caption-copy&quot;\"><i class=\"&quot;icon-arrow\" \/> Two cracks in the Pine Island Glacier captured by the Copernicus Sentinel-2 satellite, 14 September 2019. Credit: ESA, CC BY-SA 3.0 IGO<\/span><\/figcaption><span class=\"&quot;im-image-caption&quot;\" \/><\/div>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">The Copernicus satellites will be able to cover Earth\u2019s surface faster and in greater detail, giving us our clearest indication yet of how much CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> is in the atmosphere and where it came from.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">\u201cBeing able to extract the anthropogenic signal from all the natural variability we see \u2013 this is really a challenge and where we\u2019re working on top of our scientific ability,\u201d says Engelen.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">\u201cIt\u2019s still very much in the development phase and we\u2019re aiming to have an operational service by 2026.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">\u201cThat\u2019s because within the Paris Agreement, countries have agreed on a global stocktake process where they report on the results of their actions [to reduce emissions] every five years.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">\u201cThe first is in 2023, reporting on the [years since the rules were adopted in 2018]. But the next one is in 2028\u2026 so we want Copernicus to be ready for that, which gives us a few years to build the new service. But it\u2019s quite a large undertaking.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">It\u2019s a large undertaking however you look at it. Large in terms of ambition.<\/p>\n<div class=\"&quot;image-handler__container\" style=\"padding-bottom:\"> <img class=\"&quot;wp-image-99926\" align=\"\" data-src=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2021\/09\/429515-Australian_bushfires_node_full_image_2-2e273a6.jpeg?quality=90&amp;resize=620%2C620&quot;\" width=\"&quot;700&quot;\" height=\"&quot;700&quot;\" alt=\"&quot;Australian\" title=\"&quot;429515-Australian_bushfires_node_full_image_2&quot;\" \/><\/div><div class=\"&quot;caption-hold&quot;\"><figcaption class=\"&quot;wp-caption-text&quot;\"><span class=\"&quot;caption-copy&quot;\"><i class=\"&quot;icon-arrow\" \/> Australian bushfires captured by The Copernicus Sentinel-2 satellite, 8 September 2019. Credit: ESA, CC BY-SA 3.0 IGO<\/span><\/figcaption><span class=\"&quot;im-image-caption&quot;\" \/><\/div>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">Large in terms of the number of organisations behind it \u2013 CAMS, implemented by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, will handle the satellites\u2019 data, but it\u2019ll be ESA that builds and launches them, and EUMETSAT, the European Organisation for the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites, that operates them.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">But, most of all, as Engelen explains, it\u2019s large in terms of purpose.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">\u201cYou have to see it as part of the global effort to reduce emissions. We want to know how successful these efforts are but, as we\u2019re working within a global agreement, all the countries need to be able to trust each other.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">\u201c[Copernicus] will help to build more of that trust. The advantage of using satellite observations is that it provides a much more consistent view of emissions globally than we would get from individual approaches.\u201d<\/p>\n<h1 class=\"&quot;p1&quot;\"><strong>How increasing CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span>\u00a0affects Earth\u2019s climate<\/strong><\/h1>\n<div class=\"&quot;image-handler__container\" style=\"padding-bottom:\"> <img class=\"&quot;wp-image-50485\" align=\"\" data-src=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2020\/07\/PIA00107-8bc7e4e-scaled-e1594288383944.jpg?quality=90&amp;resize=620%2C465&quot;\" width=\"&quot;1500&quot;\" height=\"&quot;1125&quot;\" alt=\"&quot;A\" title=\"&quot;A\" \/><\/div><div class=\"&quot;caption-hold&quot;\"><figcaption class=\"&quot;wp-caption-text&quot;\"><span class=\"&quot;caption-copy&quot;\"><i class=\"&quot;icon-arrow\" \/> Could barren, poisonous Venus give us a glimpse into Earth\u2019s future, if there is a runaway greenhouse effect? Credit: NASA\/JPL<\/span><\/figcaption><span class=\"&quot;im-image-caption&quot;\" \/><\/div>\n<p class=\"&quot;p1&quot;\">Carbon dioxide (CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span>) accounts for just 0.04% of Earth\u2019s atmosphere, so how can it have such a big effect on the planet\u2019s climate?<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p1&quot;\">Well, firstly, CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> traps heat (hence it\u2019s known as a greenhouse gas) and secondly, it remains in the atmosphere for centuries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p2&quot;\">Earth receives huge quantities of energy from the Sun in the form of sunlight. As this is short-wave radiation, it passes through the atmosphere largely unhindered.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p2&quot;\">Most of that energy is absorbed by the surface, but about 17% is reflected back in the form of heat (long-wave, infrared radiation).<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p2&quot;\">Infrared radiation effectively passes straight through oxygen and nitrogen (which comprise the vast majority of Earth\u2019s atmosphere), thanks to their relatively simple molecular structure.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p2&quot;\">But the molecular structure of CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> is more complex, so it absorbs the infrared and heats up, then begins to radiate its heat to molecules nearby.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p2&quot;\">The more CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> molecules there are, the more of that heat is absorbed, the hotter Earth\u2019s atmosphere becomes, and the greater the impact on Earth\u2019s climate.<span class=\"&quot;Apple-converted-space&quot;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p2&quot;\"><span class=\"&quot;Apple-converted-space&quot;\">\u00a0<\/span>Methane, another greenhouse gas, has an even more complex molecular structure than CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> so absorbs even more heat.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p2&quot;\">But methane stays in the atmosphere for little more than a decade. CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> can hang around for anything from 300 to 1,000 years; hence the accumulation of it has a significant impact on our planet\u2019s heat balance.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p2&quot;\">For evidence of the effect greenhouse gases can have on a planet\u2019s climate, look no further than <a href=\"\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/astrophotography\/planets\/venus\/&quot;\">Venus<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p2&quot;\">With a similar size and atmosphere to Earth early in its history, it was essentially Earth\u2019s twin until around 700 million years ago, when a runaway greenhouse effect took hold.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p2&quot;\">Today, its atmosphere is 96% CO<span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\"><sub>2<\/sub><\/span> and its surface temperature is around 460\u00b0C \u2013 hot enough to melt lead.<\/p>\n<h1><strong>4 missions to monitor Earth\u2019s climate<\/strong><\/h1>\n<div class=\"&quot;listicle&quot;\"> <span class=\"&quot;listicle__count&quot;\">1<\/span> <h3 class=\"&quot;listicle__title\">TEMPO, NASA &amp; Smithsonian Astrophysical Observatory<\/h3>\n<\/div> <p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<div class=\"&quot;image-handler__container\" style=\"padding-bottom:\"> <img class=\"&quot;wp-image-99928\" align=\"\" data-src=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2021\/09\/Tropospheric-Emissions-Monitoring-of-Pollution-9c44b37.jpg?quality=90&amp;resize=620%2C452&quot;\" width=\"&quot;1200&quot;\" height=\"&quot;874&quot;\" alt=\"&quot;Tropospheric\" title=\"&quot;Tropospheric\" \/><\/div>\n<p class=\"&quot;p2&quot;\">The Tropospheric Emissions: Monitoring of Pollution (TEMPO) instrument will fly aboard a commercial satellite and measure the daily variations in air quality over North America.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p2&quot;\">Expected to launch in 2022, it will assess concentrations of ozone, nitrogen dioxide, sulphur dioxide and other chemicals from a geostationary orbit to track emissions and improve air-quality forecasts.<\/p>\n<div class=\"&quot;listicle&quot;\"> <span class=\"&quot;listicle__count&quot;\">2<\/span> <h3 class=\"&quot;listicle__title\">GRACE-FO, NASA &amp; German Research Centre for Geosciences<\/h3>\n<\/div> <p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<div class=\"&quot;image-handler__container\" style=\"padding-bottom:\"> <img class=\"&quot;wp-image-99929\" align=\"\" data-src=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2021\/09\/08_Grace_FO_still_Above_Alaska-c73f7f0.jpg?quality=90&amp;resize=620%2C349&quot;\" width=\"&quot;1920&quot;\" height=\"&quot;1080&quot;\" alt=\"&quot;Illustration\" title=\"&quot;GRACE-FO&quot;\" \/><\/div><div class=\"&quot;caption-hold&quot;\"><figcaption class=\"&quot;wp-caption-text&quot;\"><span class=\"&quot;caption-copy&quot;\"><i class=\"&quot;icon-arrow\" \/> Credit: NASA\/JPL-Caltech<\/span><\/figcaption><span class=\"&quot;im-image-caption&quot;\" \/><\/div>\n<p class=\"&quot;p2&quot;\">The Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment Follow-On mission is a pair of satellites launched in 2018 to monitor Earth\u2019s water.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p2&quot;\">GRACE-FO picks up where GRACE left off, providing an indication of climate variability by measuring small changes in the planet\u2019s gravity field that correspond to the amount of water in lakes, rivers, oceans, ice sheets and the ground.<\/p>\n<div class=\"&quot;listicle&quot;\"> <span class=\"&quot;listicle__count&quot;\">3<\/span> <h3 class=\"&quot;listicle__title\">Copernicus Sentinel fleet, ESA<\/h3>\n<\/div> <p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<div class=\"&quot;image-handler__container\" style=\"padding-bottom:\"> <img class=\"&quot;wp-image-99930\" align=\"\" data-src=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2021\/09\/Sentinel_family-4709177.jpg?quality=90&amp;resize=620%2C620&quot;\" width=\"&quot;1772&quot;\" height=\"&quot;1772&quot;\" alt=\"&quot;The\" title=\"&quot;The\" \/><\/div><div class=\"&quot;caption-hold&quot;\"><figcaption class=\"&quot;wp-caption-text&quot;\"><span class=\"&quot;caption-copy&quot;\"><i class=\"&quot;icon-arrow\" \/> Credit: ESA<\/span><\/figcaption><span class=\"&quot;im-image-caption&quot;\" \/><\/div>\n<p class=\"&quot;p2&quot;\">Europe\u2019s growing stable of Earth-monitoring satellites currently comprises six missions (Sentinel-1, -2, -3, -4, -5P and -6), but will grow over the coming years with the launches of Sentinel 5 and further expansion missions, including OCO-2.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p2&quot;\">Monitoring everything from soil moisture, water quality and land cover to surface temperature, sea level, air quality and pollution, they provide key information on Earth\u2019s changing climate.<\/p>\n<div class=\"&quot;listicle&quot;\"> <span class=\"&quot;listicle__count&quot;\">4<\/span> <h3 class=\"&quot;listicle__title\">Suomi NPP, NASA<\/h3>\n<\/div> <p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<div class=\"&quot;image-handler__container\" style=\"padding-bottom:\"> <img class=\"&quot;wp-image-99931\" align=\"\" data-src=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2021\/09\/Suomi-NPP-b4d3025.jpeg?quality=90&amp;resize=620%2C496&quot;\" width=\"&quot;1280&quot;\" height=\"&quot;1024&quot;\" alt=\"&quot;Suomi\" title=\"&quot;Suomi\" \/><\/div><div class=\"&quot;caption-hold&quot;\"><figcaption class=\"&quot;wp-caption-text&quot;\"><span class=\"&quot;caption-copy&quot;\"><i class=\"&quot;icon-arrow\" \/> Credit: NASA<\/span><\/figcaption><span class=\"&quot;im-image-caption&quot;\" \/><\/div>\n<p class=\"&quot;p2&quot;\"><span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\">Launched in 2011, the Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership (Suomi NPP) satellite collects a range of data to improve weather forecasting and provide insights into climate change. It has five instruments that monitor changes in vegetation productivity, atmospheric ozone, sea and land surface temperatures, as well as monitoring glaciers, sea ice, land ice and natural disasters around the world.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>This article originally appeared in the August 2021 issue of <\/strong><\/em><strong>BBC Sky at Night Magazine<\/strong><em><strong>.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<hr class=\"no-tts wp-block-separator\" \/>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Rob Banino Published: Monday, 13 September 2021 at 12:00 am Something big happened in 2020. According to the Global Carbon Project, carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions declined by 2.4bn tonnes \u2013 the biggest drop ever recorded. It is a faint silver lining to a year of COVID-19 lockdowns, and a distraction from the longer-term trend [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":24,"featured_media":0,"template":"","categories":[1],"acf":{"readingTimeMinutes":"13"},"uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":false,"thumbnail":false,"medium":false,"medium_large":false,"large":false,"1536x1536":false,"2048x2048":false},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"importmanagerhub@sprylab.com","author_link":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/author\/importmanagerhubsprylab-com\/"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"By Rob Banino Published: Monday, 13 September 2021 at 12:00 am Something big happened in 2020. According to the Global Carbon Project, carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions declined by 2.4bn tonnes \u2013 the biggest drop ever recorded. It is a faint silver lining to a year of COVID-19 lockdowns, and a distraction from the longer-term trend&hellip;","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/rss_feed\/23690"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/rss_feed"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/rss_feed"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/24"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23690"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23690"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}