{"id":44482,"date":"2023-05-05T07:04:17","date_gmt":"2023-05-05T07:04:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/?p=118470"},"modified":"2023-05-05T09:33:01","modified_gmt":"2023-05-05T09:33:01","slug":"how-scientists-can-predict-when-the-next-eclipse-will-occur","status":"publish","type":"rss_feed","link":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/rss_feed\/how-scientists-can-predict-when-the-next-eclipse-will-occur\/","title":{"rendered":"How scientists can predict when the next eclipse will occur"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"rssexcerpt\"> Finding out when the next solar eclipse or lunar eclipse will occur isn&#8217;t simply guesswork! The mechanical nature of the Solar System enables incredible accuracy. <\/p><p class=\"rssauthor\">By Peter Grego\n                \t\t<\/p><p class=\"rssbyline\">Published: Friday, 05 May 2023 at 12:00 am<\/p><hr class=\"no-tts wp-block-separator\"\/><?xml version=\"1.0\" encoding=\"UTF-8\" standalone=\"yes\"?>\n<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC \"-\/\/W3C\/\/DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional\/\/EN\" \"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/TR\/REC-html40\/loose.dtd\">\n<html><body> <p class=\"&quot;p1&quot;\"><span class=\"&quot;s1&quot;\">How is it possible to predict lunar and solar eclipses with such amazing accuracy? It almost seems like wizardy that astronomers are able to say when the <a href=\"&quot;https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/advice\/solar-lunar-eclipse-guide-when-where\/&quot;\">next eclipse<\/a> will occur, so far into the future, and right down to the second.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">The ancient Babylonians knew enough about the Moon\u2019s path and the saros cycle (the 18-year and 11-day cycle of eclipse recurrence) to be able to predict <a href=\"&quot;https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/astrophotography\/moon\/lunar-eclipses\/&quot;\">lunar eclipses<\/a> well in advance.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p3&quot;\">But <a href=\"&quot;https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/astrophotography\/sun\/solar-eclipses\/&quot;\">solar eclipses<\/a> are visible from a far smaller area than lunar eclipses, and the track of any totality produced is very narrow.<\/p>\n<div class=\"&quot;image-handler__container\" image-handler__container--full=\"\" style=\"&quot;padding-bottom:\" calc=\"\"> <picture><source media=\"&quot;(max-width:\" data-srcset=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2019\/05\/PHOTO-2-1bc4c04-e1560256683953.jpg?webp=true&amp;quality=90&amp;resize=300%2C233,\" https:=\"\" type=\"&quot;image\/webp&quot;\"><source media=\"&quot;(max-width:\" data-srcset=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2019\/05\/PHOTO-2-1bc4c04-e1560256683953.jpg?quality=90&amp;resize=300%2C233,\" https:=\"\" type=\"&quot;image\/jpeg&quot;\"><source media=\"&quot;(max-width:\" data-srcset=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2019\/05\/PHOTO-2-1bc4c04-e1560256683953.jpg?webp=true&amp;quality=90&amp;resize=355%2C276,\" https:=\"\" type=\"&quot;image\/webp&quot;\"><source media=\"&quot;(max-width:\" data-srcset=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2019\/05\/PHOTO-2-1bc4c04-e1560256683953.jpg?quality=90&amp;resize=355%2C276,\" https:=\"\" type=\"&quot;image\/jpeg&quot;\"><source media=\"&quot;(max-width:\" data-srcset=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2019\/05\/PHOTO-2-1bc4c04-e1560256683953.jpg?webp=true&amp;quality=90&amp;resize=405%2C315,\" https:=\"\" type=\"&quot;image\/webp&quot;\"><source media=\"&quot;(max-width:\" data-srcset=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2019\/05\/PHOTO-2-1bc4c04-e1560256683953.jpg?quality=90&amp;resize=405%2C315,\" https:=\"\" type=\"&quot;image\/jpeg&quot;\"><source media=\"&quot;(max-width:\" data-srcset=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2019\/05\/PHOTO-2-1bc4c04-e1560256683953.jpg?webp=true&amp;quality=90&amp;resize=554%2C430,\" https:=\"\" type=\"&quot;image\/webp&quot;\"><source media=\"&quot;(max-width:\" data-srcset=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2019\/05\/PHOTO-2-1bc4c04-e1560256683953.jpg?quality=90&amp;resize=554%2C430,\" https:=\"\" type=\"&quot;image\/jpeg&quot;\"><source media=\"&quot;(min-width:\" data-srcset=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2019\/05\/PHOTO-2-1bc4c04-e1560256683953.jpg?webp=true&amp;quality=90&amp;resize=620%2C482,\" https:=\"\" type=\"&quot;image\/webp&quot;\"><source media=\"&quot;(min-width:\" data-srcset=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2019\/05\/PHOTO-2-1bc4c04-e1560256683953.jpg?quality=90&amp;resize=620%2C482,\" https:=\"\" type=\"&quot;image\/jpeg&quot;\"><source media=\"&quot;(min-width:\" data-srcset=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2019\/05\/PHOTO-2-1bc4c04-e1560256683953.jpg?webp=true&amp;quality=90&amp;resize=408%2C317,\" https:=\"\" type=\"&quot;image\/webp&quot;\"><source media=\"&quot;(min-width:\" data-srcset=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2019\/05\/PHOTO-2-1bc4c04-e1560256683953.jpg?quality=90&amp;resize=408%2C317,\" https:=\"\" type=\"&quot;image\/jpeg&quot;\"><source media=\"&quot;(min-width:\" data-srcset=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2019\/05\/PHOTO-2-1bc4c04-e1560256683953.jpg?webp=true&amp;quality=90&amp;resize=556%2C432,\" https:=\"\" type=\"&quot;image\/webp&quot;\"><source media=\"&quot;(min-width:\" data-srcset=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2019\/05\/PHOTO-2-1bc4c04-e1560256683953.jpg?quality=90&amp;resize=556%2C432,\" https:=\"\" type=\"&quot;image\/jpeg&quot;\"><img class=\"&quot;wp-image-32611\" align=\"\" size-full=\"\" image-handler__image=\"\" image-handler__image--full=\"\" no-wrap=\"\" js-lazyload=\"\" data-src=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2019\/05\/PHOTO-2-1bc4c04-e1560256683953.jpg?quality=90&amp;resize=620%2C482&quot;\" width=\"&quot;1500&quot;\" height=\"&quot;1165&quot;\" alt=\"&quot;&quot;\" title=\"&quot;&quot;\"\/><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture><\/div><div class=\"&quot;caption-hold&quot;\"><figcaption class=\"&quot;wp-caption-text&quot;\"><span class=\"&quot;caption-copy&quot;\"><i class=\"&quot;icon-arrow\" icon-camera-circle=\"\"\/> A map showing the extremely narrow path of totality for the 2 July 2019 eclipse in Chile. Credit: ESO<\/span><\/figcaption><span class=\"&quot;im-image-caption&quot;\"\/><\/div>\n<p class=\"&quot;p4&quot;\">Ancient civilisations did not have a precise enough knowledge of the Moon\u2019s path to accurately predict solar eclipses, nor did they have the mathematical tools with which to predict them.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p4&quot;\">It is only in the last 300 years that astronomers have been able to predict solar eclipses accurately.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p4&quot;\">In the early 18th century, Edmond Halley was responsible for a big leap forward when he greatly improved upon the mathematical tables for the motion of the Sun and the Moon.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p4&quot;\">These models had essentially stayed the same since the work of the 10th century Arab astronomer Abu Batani (Latinised as Albategnius); work that was itself based upon the tables of <a href=\"&quot;https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/space-science\/claudius-ptolemy-astrological-travel-guide\/&quot;\">Ptolemy<\/a> from the second century.<\/p>\n<div class=\"&quot;image-handler__container\" image-handler__container--full=\"\" style=\"&quot;padding-bottom:\" calc=\"\"> <picture><source media=\"&quot;(max-width:\" data-srcset=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2020\/07\/Stellarium-set-date-and-time-9709ade.jpg?webp=true&amp;quality=90&amp;resize=300%2C169,\" https:=\"\" type=\"&quot;image\/webp&quot;\"><source media=\"&quot;(max-width:\" data-srcset=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2020\/07\/Stellarium-set-date-and-time-9709ade.jpg?quality=90&amp;resize=300%2C169,\" https:=\"\" type=\"&quot;image\/jpeg&quot;\"><source media=\"&quot;(max-width:\" data-srcset=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2020\/07\/Stellarium-set-date-and-time-9709ade.jpg?webp=true&amp;quality=90&amp;resize=355%2C200,\" https:=\"\" type=\"&quot;image\/webp&quot;\"><source media=\"&quot;(max-width:\" data-srcset=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2020\/07\/Stellarium-set-date-and-time-9709ade.jpg?quality=90&amp;resize=355%2C200,\" https:=\"\" type=\"&quot;image\/jpeg&quot;\"><source media=\"&quot;(max-width:\" data-srcset=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2020\/07\/Stellarium-set-date-and-time-9709ade.jpg?webp=true&amp;quality=90&amp;resize=405%2C228,\" https:=\"\" type=\"&quot;image\/webp&quot;\"><source media=\"&quot;(max-width:\" data-srcset=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2020\/07\/Stellarium-set-date-and-time-9709ade.jpg?quality=90&amp;resize=405%2C228,\" https:=\"\" type=\"&quot;image\/jpeg&quot;\"><source media=\"&quot;(max-width:\" data-srcset=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2020\/07\/Stellarium-set-date-and-time-9709ade.jpg?webp=true&amp;quality=90&amp;resize=554%2C312,\" https:=\"\" type=\"&quot;image\/webp&quot;\"><source media=\"&quot;(max-width:\" data-srcset=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2020\/07\/Stellarium-set-date-and-time-9709ade.jpg?quality=90&amp;resize=554%2C312,\" https:=\"\" type=\"&quot;image\/jpeg&quot;\"><source media=\"&quot;(min-width:\" data-srcset=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2020\/07\/Stellarium-set-date-and-time-9709ade.jpg?webp=true&amp;quality=90&amp;resize=620%2C349,\" https:=\"\" type=\"&quot;image\/webp&quot;\"><source media=\"&quot;(min-width:\" data-srcset=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2020\/07\/Stellarium-set-date-and-time-9709ade.jpg?quality=90&amp;resize=620%2C349,\" https:=\"\" type=\"&quot;image\/jpeg&quot;\"><source media=\"&quot;(min-width:\" data-srcset=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2020\/07\/Stellarium-set-date-and-time-9709ade.jpg?webp=true&amp;quality=90&amp;resize=408%2C230,\" https:=\"\" type=\"&quot;image\/webp&quot;\"><source media=\"&quot;(min-width:\" data-srcset=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2020\/07\/Stellarium-set-date-and-time-9709ade.jpg?quality=90&amp;resize=408%2C230,\" https:=\"\" type=\"&quot;image\/jpeg&quot;\"><source media=\"&quot;(min-width:\" data-srcset=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2020\/07\/Stellarium-set-date-and-time-9709ade.jpg?webp=true&amp;quality=90&amp;resize=556%2C313,\" https:=\"\" type=\"&quot;image\/webp&quot;\"><source media=\"&quot;(min-width:\" data-srcset=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2020\/07\/Stellarium-set-date-and-time-9709ade.jpg?quality=90&amp;resize=556%2C313,\" https:=\"\" type=\"&quot;image\/jpeg&quot;\"><img class=\"&quot;wp-image-50872\" align=\"\" size-full=\"\" image-handler__image=\"\" image-handler__image--full=\"\" no-wrap=\"\" js-lazyload=\"\" data-src=\"&quot;https:\/\/images.immediate.co.uk\/production\/volatile\/sites\/25\/2020\/07\/Stellarium-set-date-and-time-9709ade.jpg?quality=90&amp;resize=620%2C349&quot;\" width=\"&quot;1500&quot;\" height=\"&quot;844&quot;\" alt=\"&quot;&quot;\" title=\"&quot;&quot;\"\/><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture><\/div><div class=\"&quot;caption-hold&quot;\"><figcaption class=\"&quot;wp-caption-text&quot;\"><span class=\"&quot;caption-copy&quot;\"><i class=\"&quot;icon-arrow\" icon-camera-circle=\"\"\/> Planetarium programs like Stellarium allow users to whizz through time to check when future celestial events will occur. Credit: Stellarium<\/span><\/figcaption><span class=\"&quot;im-image-caption&quot;\"\/><\/div>\n<p class=\"&quot;p4&quot;\">But nowadays things are so much easier and accessible to ordinary people.<\/p>\n<p class=\"&quot;p4&quot;\">Anyone using a good planetarium program on their computer can accurately call up data and graphics for eclipses visible from any location on Earth.<\/p>\n<p>The clockwork nature of the Solar System and Earth\u2019s location with respect to the Sun and Moon can be predicted well in advance.<\/p>\n<p>As a result, free software such as <a href=\"&quot;https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/advice\/skills\/stellarium-astronomy-planetarium-software-how-to-use\/&quot;\">Stellarium<\/a> can be used by anyone to track future eclipses, lunar <a href=\"&quot;https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/advice\/occultation-astronomy-what\/&quot;\">occultations<\/a>, <a href=\"&quot;https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/advice\/skills\/conjunctions-in-night-sky-how-see\/&quot;\">conjunctions<\/a> or where a certain planet will appear at a certain time.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>This article originally appeared in the July 2006 issue of <\/strong><\/em><strong>BBC Sky at Night Magazine<\/strong><em><strong>.<\/strong><\/em><\/p> <\/body><\/html>\n<hr class=\"no-tts wp-block-separator\"\/>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p> Finding out when the next solar eclipse or lunar eclipse will occur isn&#8217;t simply guesswork! The mechanical nature of the Solar System enables incredible accuracy. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":24,"featured_media":44483,"template":"","categories":[1],"acf":{"readingTimeMinutes":"2"},"uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":["https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/77\/2023\/05\/how-scientists-can-predict-when-the-next-eclipse-will-occur-scaled.jpg",2560,1707,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/77\/2023\/05\/how-scientists-can-predict-when-the-next-eclipse-will-occur-150x150.jpg",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/77\/2023\/05\/how-scientists-can-predict-when-the-next-eclipse-will-occur-300x200.jpg",300,200,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/77\/2023\/05\/how-scientists-can-predict-when-the-next-eclipse-will-occur-768x512.jpg",768,512,true],"large":["https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/77\/2023\/05\/how-scientists-can-predict-when-the-next-eclipse-will-occur-1024x683.jpg",800,534,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/77\/2023\/05\/how-scientists-can-predict-when-the-next-eclipse-will-occur-1536x1024.jpg",1536,1024,true],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/77\/2023\/05\/how-scientists-can-predict-when-the-next-eclipse-will-occur-2048x1365.jpg",2048,1365,true]},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"importmanagerhub@sprylab.com","author_link":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/author\/importmanagerhubsprylab-com\/"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"Finding out when the next solar eclipse or lunar eclipse will occur isn't simply guesswork! The mechanical nature of the Solar System enables incredible accuracy.","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/rss_feed\/44482"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/rss_feed"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/rss_feed"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/24"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/44483"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44482"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44482"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}