{"id":53427,"date":"2024-01-12T06:38:58","date_gmt":"2024-01-12T06:38:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/6be923a4-a9c0-42b5-9a7d-9f76370a83a8"},"modified":"2024-01-12T07:32:29","modified_gmt":"2024-01-12T07:32:29","slug":"space-junk-and-why-its-a-big-problem","status":"publish","type":"rss_feed","link":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/rss_feed\/space-junk-and-why-its-a-big-problem\/","title":{"rendered":"Space junk and why it&#8217;s a big problem"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"rssexcerpt\">Free-for-all access to low-Earth orbit is increasing the risk of collisions. But how likely is a space junk collision? <\/p><p class=\"rssauthor\">By Lewis Dartnell\n      <\/p><p class=\"rssbyline\">Published: Friday, 12 January 2024 at 06:38 AM<\/p><hr class=\"no-tts wp-block-separator\"\/><?xml version=\"1.0\" encoding=\"UTF-8\" standalone=\"yes\"?>\n<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC \"-\/\/W3C\/\/DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional\/\/EN\" \"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/TR\/REC-html40\/loose.dtd\">\n<html><body><p class=\"p1\">Space is getting increasingly crowded. At least, it is in the region of low-Earth orbit, where many satellites operate.<\/p><p class=\"p1\">Spanning altitudes between about 160km and 2,000km above Earth\u2019s surface, low-Earth orbit requires less fuel to reach than higher orbits.<\/p><p class=\"p1\">Its relative proximity to the ground also provides advantages for low-powered communication devices, such as Iridium satellite phones (once the cause of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/news\/iridium-flares-to-cease-by-end-of-2018\/\">Iridium flares<\/a>), as well as for Earth observation \u2013 think weather-forecasting, monitoring the environment and spying.<\/p><p><em><strong>Read our interview with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/space-science\/dr-space-junk-interview-space-archaeologist\/\">Dr Space Junk Alice Gorman<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">A computer-generated image of space debris orbiting Earth. Credit: NASA Orbital Debris Program Office, photo gallery<\/figcaption><\/figure><p class=\"p1\">The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/space-missions\/international-space-station-facts-history\/\">International Space Station<\/a> and China\u2019s Tiangong space station also occupy low-Earth orbit, both at an altitude around 400km.<\/p><p class=\"p3\">There are plenty of objects like artificial satellites and bits of spacecraft that have fallen out of use and remain in orbit around Earth. These are collectively known as space junk.<\/p><p class=\"p3\">Satellites can remain in position long after they have stopped functioning and the process of launching them is also a decidedly messy affair: spent rocket stages and separation bolts also contribute to the debris circling around Earth.<\/p><p class=\"p3\">All of this space junk is orbiting Earth at speeds of up to 28,000km\/h and as it continues to accumulate it poses an increasing risk of collision.<\/p><p class=\"p3\">For example, in the 20 years of its operation, the ISS has had to shift around 30 times to avoid being hit by orbital debris.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1041\" height=\"682\" src=\"https:\/\/c02.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/48\/2020\/11\/ISS-orbiting-Earth-ef8a841.jpg\" alt=\"The International Space Station imaged by an STS-131 astronaut on Space Shuttle Discovery, 17 April 2010. Credit: NASA\" class=\"wp-image-55538\" title=\"\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">The International Space Station imaged by an STS-131 astronaut on Space Shuttle Discovery, 17 April 2010. Credit: NASA<\/figcaption><\/figure><p class=\"p3\">But the problem isn\u2019t just the risk of a collision, because a satellite hit by debris can shatter into thousands of fragments, any of which can go on to collide with other satellites and so on.<\/p><p class=\"p3\">This could potentially trigger a runaway cascade of satellite destruction \u2013 a chain reaction of collisions \u2013 until a whole region of orbital space is so full of hazardous debris that it\u2019s rendered unusable or impassable for decades.<\/p><p class=\"p3\">This possibility is known as the Kessler Syndrome, and will be familiar to anyone who\u2019s watched the film <i>Gravity <\/i>(one of our pick of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/film-and-tv-reviews\/best-space-movies\/\">best space and sci fi movies<\/a>).<\/p><p class=\"p3\">In the worst case scenario, it could block human access to space and end services such as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/space-science\/how-global-positioning-system-gps-changed-world\/\">GPS<\/a> and satellite imaging for a long time.<\/p><h2 class=\"p3\" id=\"h-could-space-junk-cause-a-collision\"><strong>Could space junk cause a collision?<\/strong><\/h2><p class=\"p3\">As more and more satellites are launched into low-Earth orbit, the risk of a catastrophic Kessler Syndrome, and the huge economic impact it would have, only increases. But how likely is it to occur?<\/p><p class=\"p3\">Two economists, Akhil Rao, at Middlebury College, Vermont, and Giacomo Rondina at the University of California, San Diego, built a model that not only considers the orbital dynamics involved in a Kessler Syndrome occurring, but also the changing economics of satellite launches.<\/p><p class=\"p3\">They note that, currently, orbital space is effectively open access: anyone who can build a rocket is able to place as many satellites as they like in any orbit they choose.<\/p><p class=\"p3\">Rao and Rondina focused on the orbital shell, between the altitudes of 600km and 650km, which lies at the edge of the region where Earth\u2019s thin, upper atmosphere will naturally de-orbit debris within 25 years.<\/p><p class=\"p3\">Based on the recent growth of the space sector, they calculate a Kessler Syndrome would occur around 2048. But if launches increase more quickly, it could even happen as early as 2035.<\/p><p class=\"p3\">Possible solutions to avert the problem include technology to actively remove debris from low-Earth orbit, or new international laws to limit and control the number of launches.<\/p><p class=\"p1\"><strong><em>Lewis Dartnell was reading <\/em>Open access to orbit and runaway space debris growth<em> by Akhil Rao and Giacomo Rondina. Read it online at: <a href=\"http:\/\/arxiv.org\/abs\/2202.07442\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">arxiv.org\/abs\/2202.07442<\/a>.<\/em><\/strong><\/p><p><em><strong>This article originally appeared in the May 2022 issue of <\/strong><\/em><strong>BBC Sky at Night Magazine<\/strong><em><strong>.<\/strong><\/em><\/p> <\/body><\/html>\n<hr class=\"no-tts wp-block-separator\"\/>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Free-for-all access to low-Earth orbit is increasing the risk of collisions. But how likely is a space junk collision? <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":24,"featured_media":53428,"template":"","categories":[1],"acf":{"readingTimeMinutes":"3"},"uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":["https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/77\/2024\/01\/space-junk-and-why-its-a-big-problem.jpg",1200,675,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/77\/2024\/01\/space-junk-and-why-its-a-big-problem-150x150.jpg",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/77\/2024\/01\/space-junk-and-why-its-a-big-problem-300x169.jpg",300,169,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/77\/2024\/01\/space-junk-and-why-its-a-big-problem-768x432.jpg",768,432,true],"large":["https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/77\/2024\/01\/space-junk-and-why-its-a-big-problem-1024x576.jpg",800,450,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/77\/2024\/01\/space-junk-and-why-its-a-big-problem.jpg",1200,675,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/77\/2024\/01\/space-junk-and-why-its-a-big-problem.jpg",1200,675,false]},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"importmanagerhub@sprylab.com","author_link":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/author\/importmanagerhubsprylab-com\/"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"Free-for-all access to low-Earth orbit is increasing the risk of collisions. But how likely is a space junk collision?","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/rss_feed\/53427"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/rss_feed"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/rss_feed"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/24"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/53428"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=53427"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=53427"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}