{"id":56639,"date":"2024-04-04T07:12:31","date_gmt":"2024-04-04T07:12:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/c4d25c38-ae49-49ee-bfe5-eaf4335e212f"},"modified":"2024-04-04T09:08:30","modified_gmt":"2024-04-04T09:08:30","slug":"this-is-how-astronomers-are-able-to-predict-when-the-next-eclipse-will-happen-and-where-it-will-be-visible","status":"publish","type":"rss_feed","link":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/rss_feed\/this-is-how-astronomers-are-able-to-predict-when-the-next-eclipse-will-happen-and-where-it-will-be-visible\/","title":{"rendered":"This is how astronomers are able to predict when the next eclipse will happen, and where it will be visible"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"rssexcerpt\">Finding out when the next solar eclipse or lunar eclipse will occur isn&#8217;t simply guesswork! The mechanical nature of the Solar System enables incredible accuracy. <\/p><p class=\"rssauthor\">By Iain Todd\n      <\/p><p class=\"rssbyline\">Published: Thursday, 04 April 2024 at 07:12 AM<\/p><hr class=\"no-tts wp-block-separator\"\/><?xml version=\"1.0\" encoding=\"UTF-8\" standalone=\"yes\"?>\n<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC \"-\/\/W3C\/\/DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional\/\/EN\" \"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/TR\/REC-html40\/loose.dtd\">\n<html><body><p class=\"p1\">How is it possible to predict and calculate when the next lunar and solar eclipse will occur with such amazing accuracy?<\/p><p class=\"p1\">It almost seems like wizardry that astronomers are able to say when the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/advice\/solar-lunar-eclipse-guide-when-where\">next eclipse<\/a> will occur, so far into the future and right down to the second.<\/p><p>Not only this, astronomers can even say where on Earth an eclipse will be visible, and how much of it will be seen.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Map showing the paths of the 14 October 2023 and 8 April 2024 US solar eclipses. Astronomers can predict eclipses with extreme accuracy.<\/figcaption><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-ancient-eclipse-predictions\"><strong>Ancient eclipse predictions<\/strong><\/h2><p class=\"p3\">The ancient Babylonians knew enough about the Moon\u2019s path and the saros cycle (the 18-year and 11-day cycle of eclipse recurrence) to be able to predict <a href=\"https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/astrophotography\/moon\/lunar-eclipses\/\">lunar eclipses<\/a> well in advance.<\/p><p class=\"p3\">But <a href=\"https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/astrophotography\/sun\/solar-eclipses\/\">solar eclipses<\/a> are visible from a far smaller area than lunar eclipses, and the track of any totality produced is very narrow.<\/p><p class=\"p4\">Ancient civilisations did not have a precise enough knowledge of the Moon\u2019s path to accurately predict solar eclipses, nor did they have the mathematical tools with which to predict them.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1655\" src=\"https:\/\/c02.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/48\/2020\/01\/Ptolemy-d604fba-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"A portrait of Claudius Ptolemy (90-178) in the astronomical observatory of Alexandria, Egypt. La-vie-des-savants-illustres by Louis Figuier, 1866 Private collection (Photo by Leemage\/Corbis via Getty Images)\" class=\"wp-image-44768\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">A portrait of Claudius Ptolemy (90-178) in the astronomical observatory of Alexandria, Egypt. La-vie-des-savants-illustres by Louis Figuier, 1866 Private collection (Photo by Leemage\/Corbis via Getty Images)<\/figcaption><\/figure><p class=\"p4\">It is only in the last 300 years that astronomers have been able to predict when a solar eclipse will occur accurately.<\/p><p class=\"p4\">In the early 18th century, Edmond Halley was responsible for a big leap forward when he greatly improved upon the mathematical tables for the motion of the Sun and the Moon.<\/p><p class=\"p4\">These models had essentially stayed the same since the work of the 10th century Arab astronomer Abu Batani (Latinised as Albategnius).<\/p><p class=\"p4\">Work that was itself based upon the tables of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/space-science\/ptolemy\">Ptolemy<\/a> from the second century.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/c02.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/48\/2023\/10\/stellarium-predict-eclipse-1024x589.jpg?fit=800%2C460\" alt=\"A programme like Stellarium can help you predict an eclipse. This is a simulated view of the Sun and Moon from Dallas, Texas on 8 April 2024, the day of a total solar eclipse. Credit: Stellarium\" class=\"wp-image-148924\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">A programme like Stellarium can help you predict an eclipse. This is a simulated view of the Sun and Moon from Dallas, Texas on 8 April 2024, the day of a total solar eclipse. Credit: Stellarium<\/figcaption><\/figure><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading p4\"><strong>Predicting eclipses in the modern age<\/strong><\/h2><p class=\"p4\">Nowadays things are so much easier and accessible to ordinary people, and astronomers are able to predict when an eclipse will occur at the push of a button.<\/p><p class=\"p4\">Anyone using a planetarium program on their computer can call up data and graphics for eclipses from any location on Earth.<\/p><p>The clockwork nature of the Solar System and Earth&#8217;s location with respect to the Sun and Moon can be predicted well in advance.<\/p><p>Free software such as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/advice\/skills\/stellarium-astronomy-planetarium-software-how-to-use\/\">Stellarium<\/a> can be used by anyone to track future eclipses, lunar <a href=\"https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/advice\/occultation-astronomy-what\/\">occultations<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/advice\/skills\/conjunctions-in-night-sky-how-see\/\">conjunctions<\/a> or where a certain planet will appear at a certain time.<\/p><p><em><strong>This article originally appeared in the July 2006 issue of <\/strong><\/em><strong>BBC Sky at Night Magazine<\/strong><em><strong>.<\/strong><\/em><\/p> <\/body><\/html>\n<hr class=\"no-tts wp-block-separator\"\/>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Finding out when the next solar eclipse or lunar eclipse will occur isn&#8217;t simply guesswork! The mechanical nature of the Solar System enables incredible accuracy. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":24,"featured_media":56640,"template":"","categories":[1],"acf":{"readingTimeMinutes":"3"},"uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":["https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/77\/2024\/04\/this-is-how-astronomers-are-able-to-predict-when-the-next-eclipse-will-happen-and-where-it-will-be-visible-scaled.jpg",2560,1707,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/77\/2024\/04\/this-is-how-astronomers-are-able-to-predict-when-the-next-eclipse-will-happen-and-where-it-will-be-visible-150x150.jpg",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/77\/2024\/04\/this-is-how-astronomers-are-able-to-predict-when-the-next-eclipse-will-happen-and-where-it-will-be-visible-300x200.jpg",300,200,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/77\/2024\/04\/this-is-how-astronomers-are-able-to-predict-when-the-next-eclipse-will-happen-and-where-it-will-be-visible-768x512.jpg",768,512,true],"large":["https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/77\/2024\/04\/this-is-how-astronomers-are-able-to-predict-when-the-next-eclipse-will-happen-and-where-it-will-be-visible-1024x683.jpg",800,534,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/77\/2024\/04\/this-is-how-astronomers-are-able-to-predict-when-the-next-eclipse-will-happen-and-where-it-will-be-visible-1536x1024.jpg",1536,1024,true],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/uploads\/sites\/77\/2024\/04\/this-is-how-astronomers-are-able-to-predict-when-the-next-eclipse-will-happen-and-where-it-will-be-visible-2048x1365.jpg",2048,1365,true]},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"importmanagerhub@sprylab.com","author_link":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/author\/importmanagerhubsprylab-com\/"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"Finding out when the next solar eclipse or lunar eclipse will occur isn't simply guesswork! The mechanical nature of the Solar System enables incredible accuracy.","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/rss_feed\/56639"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/rss_feed"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/rss_feed"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/24"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/56640"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=56639"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/c01.purpledshub.com\/bbcskyatnight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=56639"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}